LONDON — The U.K. will experience the highest level of inflation among all advanced economies this year, according to data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.
The U.K. is set to report a headline inflation of 6.9% this year, above the OECD average of 6.6% for 2023. Among the countries analyzed in the latest OECD economic outlook, only Argentina and Turkey are expected to have a higher headline rate than the U.K. this year. Sanctions-struck Russia is forecast to have a headline inflation of just under 5.4% in 2023.
The U.K. headline inflation is “projected to slow on the back of declining energy prices and to come down close to target by the end of 2024,” the OECD noted. “Core inflation is set to be more persistent due to strong services inflation, only receding to 3.2% in 2024.”
Monetary policy
This highlights the pressure faced by the Bank of England, which raised rates by another 25 basis points in May to bring the main interest rate to 4.5%. At the time, the central bank recognized that inflation was “higher than expected” in the first quarter of the year, largely because of food prices.
Speaking before British lawmakers, Governor Andrew Bailey last month said that the bank’s forecasting model was not working well and that rate setters were therefore using it less. Governor Bailey also spoke of “very big lessons to learn,” after the central bank repeatedly failed to predict several inflation increases.
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Source: www.cnbc.com
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